Latest news from (Twitter)

Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 7
🇧🇷Once again, analysts are looking for a sizable cut to #Brazil's #soybeans from USDA on Friday. Does the bet finally pay off? No upside assumptions, either. #Corn seen lower, too.
🇦🇷#Argentina corn seen down notably after pest damage. Minor changes for soy but downside baked in.
Josh Linville
Josh Linville · @JLinvilleFert · May 6
Dutch TTF (Europe nat gas) futures climbed to double digit territory today

Combined with weak nitrogen market markets/forecasts continue to hamper any hope of offline plants restarting

This, Brazilian production being offline and Chinese export questions remain the inv issues
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
The winter #wheat condition index score firmed 1 point to 335 this week. The 10-year avg for the week is 319. Illinois saw a sharp 23-point decline, but it remains relatively good at 379 (500=perfect crop). #oatt
Market Talk
Market Talk · @markettalkag · May 6
Join us for a conversation with John Heinberg from Total Farm Marketing (@TotalFarmMktg) after an active market Monday. Today's show features host Mike Pearson (@PearsonCattle), who's filling in for the week while host Jesse Allen (@jesseallenag) becomes a new dad!… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Market Talk
Market Talk · @markettalkag · May 6
Join us for a conversation with John Heinberg from @TotalFarmMktg after an active market Monday. Today's show features host Mike Pearson (@PearsonCattle), who's filling in for the week while @jesseallenag becomes a new dad! #agtwitter

youtube.com/watch?v=iF_Vg7…
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 6
🇺🇸U.S. #corn planting progress summary, May 5

Example: corn in top grower Iowa was 47% planted, 6 percentage points below the date's 5-year average. That's +8 pct points on the week, but +25 pct points is the week's normal.

Nebraska also planted very slowly but Ohio was quick.
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 6
🇺🇸Planting of U.S. #corn & #soybeans last week was slower than analysts thought, and corn planting is now behind the 5-year average. Spring #wheat remains well ahead while soy & #cotton are a little ahead of average. Winter wheat conditions up 1 pt.
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 6
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Karen Braun Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 6
🇺🇸Planting of U.S. #corn & #soybeans last week was slower than analysts thought, and corn planting is now behind the 5-year average. Spring #wheat remains well ahead while soy & #cotton are a little ahead of average. Winter wheat conditions up 1 pt. pic.twitter.com/X8NeStLAUI
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
USDA reports that 36% of the #corn crop was planted as of Sunday, up from 27% the previous week. The trade expected 39%, while I was at 34%. #oatt
Market Talk
Market Talk · @markettalkag · May 6
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Karen Braun Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 6
🇺🇸Planting of U.S. #corn & #soybeans last week was slower than analysts thought, and corn planting is now behind the 5-year average. Spring #wheat remains well ahead while soy & #cotton are a little ahead of average. Winter wheat conditions up 1 pt. pic.twitter.com/X8NeStLAUI
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
The US #soybean crop was 25% planted as of Sunday, up from 18% the previous week. The trade was at 28%, while my estimate was 23%. #oatt
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
Recent rains eroded the dry area in KS, but it's still extremely dry where rains missed. As such, 33% of KS #wheat is Poor to Very Poor, up from 31% last week, while 32% is Good to Excellent, up from 31% last week. But overall, it's condition index score fell another 3 points to… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 6
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Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 6
Looks like night session’s weakness provided a nice buying opportunity 😉😉

#wheat x.com/sizov_andre/st…
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 6
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Karen Braun Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 6
🇺🇸As of Sunday, analysts see U.S. #corn 39% planted, #soybeans 28%, spring #wheat 45%.

Here's the 5yr May 5 averages plus the 5yr avg weekly gains (in % points):
Corn 39% (+17 on week)
Soy 21% (+11)
S wheat 31% (+12)

Weekly, trade is looking for +12 corn, +10 soy, +11 wheat. pic.twitter.com/KQDB0w4ywN
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
#oatt #soyoil x.com/SusanNOBULL/st…
Susan Stroud Susan Stroud · @SusanNOBULL · May 6
The U.S. imported a record amount of biomass-based diesel feedstocks in March, fueling a boom in renewable diesel production (literally)

For the first 3 months of 2024, UCO+canola+tallow imports are up 40% vs last year & up 95% from 2022! pic.twitter.com/yE6rvNbGc7
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
The past two years have been about commodity deflation. That story line has changed now, thanks to Fed actions. Doesn't mean that it won't come back, nor does it mean that every commodity participates or that rallies continue, but the switch can be felt. #oatt
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
Heat and drought in 45% of Russia's winter wheat belt is a legitimate risk. Stocks of milling wheat among major exporters outside of Russia and the US are quite tight, but the focus has been on Russia's record exports of cheap #wheat. #oatt
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
#Wheat market dynamics change dramatically IF current hot dry pattern continues into the summer for Russia's winter wheat. Remember that it has some degree of surplus stocks to carry over into the new marketing year, so losses must be notable. #oatt
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
Restrictions on Russian #wheat exports due to a short crop would refocus the market on the tightness elsewhere. Friday's USDA report should show a continued decline in global wheat stocks. When does India become a perennial importer of wheat? #oatt
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 6
I am far from the first person to post this, but having done my master's thesis on tornadoes, it would be negligent for me to stay quiet. "High risk" days aren't that common, PLEASE be on the lookout for severe weather today if you are near any of these areas!
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
Brazil farmers have sold roughly 20% of their #soybean crop into this rally over the past several weeks, and about 10 - 12% of the #corn crop, while continuing to sell. #oatt
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
Keep in mind that USDA is expected to release 2024-25 US balance sheets on Friday that show both #corn and #soybean stocks rising in the year ahead, with global #corn and #soybean stocks more than ample, while #wheat stocks continue to shrink. #oatt
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
The US old-crop #corn balance sheet has about 15 mmt of excess supply on it that needs to disappear before we can afford to see higher prices ration demand. Argentina could account for 7 - 10 mmt of lower production due to leaf hopper related disease, but need to see more losses… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 6
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Reuters Reuters · @Reuters · May 6
BREAKING: Hamas said in a statement that it had accepted a Gaza ceasefire proposal from Egypt and Qatar reut.rs/44D6r1V pic.twitter.com/RfuXZm78tu
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 6
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Reuters Reuters · @Reuters · May 6
An Israeli official said no ceasefire was agreed to in Gaza, after Hamas said it had accepted a proposal from Egyptian and Qatari mediators. 'This would appear to be a ruse intended to make Israel look like the side refusing a deal,' said the Israeli official, who said the deal… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Josh Linville
Josh Linville · @JLinvilleFert · May 6
Some nasty storms expected this evening/night across the Midwest.

Be careful out there.
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
Expect India to eventually become a consistent importer of #wheat. When that occurs it will impact the global balance sheet. Will it be this coming marketing year, or the next? Part of that answer may be related to how comfortable it remains with Russian stocks. #oatt
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 6
Russia & Global #grain market weekly, Apr 29-May 03, 2024:

* #Wheat rallies in the second half of week on weather; funds go long Matif wheat
* Russian wheat lineup recovering
* Weather risks up for winter wheat

More: sizov.report/reports/22437/…

#oatt #blacksea
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 6
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SovEcon SovEcon · @sovecon · May 6
The Algerian company OAIC purchased 210,000-300,000 mt of soft wheat in an international tender. Traders estimate the wheat price at about $249/mt (C&F), with suppliers likely coming from Black Sea countries.

More: blog.sizov.report/sovecon-russia…

#oatt #sizovreport
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 6
🇺🇸As of Sunday, analysts see U.S. #corn 39% planted, #soybeans 28%, spring #wheat 45%.

Here's the 5yr May 5 averages plus the 5yr avg weekly gains (in % points):
Corn 39% (+17 on week)
Soy 21% (+11)
S wheat 31% (+12)

Weekly, trade is looking for +12 corn, +10 soy, +11 wheat.
Josh Linville
Josh Linville · @JLinvilleFert · May 6
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AgricultureOfAmerica AgricultureOfAmerica · @AoA_TalkShow · May 6
On Monday's AOA, powered by Cenex, we start the show with a look at the markets with Senior Market Analyst at @Barchart, @DarinNewsom. In segment two we get a weather update from John Baranick, Meteorologist at @dtnpf. Then in segment three we talk fertilizer prices with… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
Export inspections specifically for shipment to China in the week ending May 2nd (mln bu): #corn 2.8, grain sorghum 5.4, #soybeans 3.1, #wheat 2 #oatt
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 6
#Corn & #soybeans up WOW on worsening South American weather and expectation of US planting delays; #wheat flat

#oatt
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
Export inspections for the week ending May 2 (mln bu): #corn 50.6, grain sorghum 5.4, #soybeans 12.8, #wheat 11.8 #oatt
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 6
🇺🇸U.S. export inspections last week fell in line with expectations, though #corn & #soybeans were a bit closer to the higher end of guesses. One #wheat and one #sorghum cargo were inspected for China, but no corn or beans.
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 6
Be careful in the Heartland today. #wx #oatt #wheat
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 6
Looks like night session’s weakness provided a nice buying opportunity 😉😉

#wheat x.com/sizov_andre/st…
Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 5
Despite a weak Friday close, being short #wheat here could be a bit risky...

Check your inbox if you are sizov.report subscriber.

#oatt #agwx #russia pic.twitter.com/HoMu5XXAx2
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 5
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Bloomberg TV Bloomberg TV · @BloombergTV · May 5
Chinese President Xi Jinping arrives in France to begin his Europe trip designed to bolster ties, even as trade tensions mount.

Here's more on his agenda: trib.al/0ZnMR0C pic.twitter.com/Oyy8ysV5U4
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 5
Money managers' views in CBOT #soymeal have fluctuated wildly over the last 6+ months. In the week ended April 30, the MM net long surged to 44k fut&opt contracts, their most bullish since December. Futures hit 3-mo highs during the week and Friday's settle was a 4-mo high.
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 5
Despite a weak Friday close, being short #wheat here could be a bit risky...

Check your inbox if you are sizov.report subscriber.

#oatt #agwx #russia
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 5
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Claudio Gianni Claudio Gianni · @ClaudioGianni · May 4
Y guarda con el trigo francés, otro gran jugador global. Viene con una condición muy modesta, históricamente baja, y enfrenta una humedad excesiva... x.com/sizov_andre/st…
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 5
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Claudio Gianni Claudio Gianni · @ClaudioGianni · May 4
¿Cómo sigue la historia del trigo? Este analista recomienda espiar el escenario del fin de semana en Rusia (¿heladas en primavera?) y los pronósticos. El chart sugiere movimiento en reversa y hay lluvias en los pronósticos. Veremos... x.com/sizov_andre/st…
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 5
And we did reverse and dropped 10 cents...wonder for how long the bears will be in control

#wheat x.com/sizov_andre/st…
Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
#Wheat is trading above 200DMA again. The chart suggests we can reverse here, but let's see how the market will close.

Russia's weather over the weekend (frosts in May??) and precipitation outlook for the South should be watched closely.

We will keep an eye on this for the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… pic.twitter.com/7ucbdpTCuv
farmbucks.com
farmbucks.com · @farmbuckscom · May 5
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Matthew Pot Matthew Pot · @MatthewPot · May 5
December #corn futures highs since 2000. Something to keep in mind as we move further into spring. pic.twitter.com/OSC20VerJA
Josh Linville
Josh Linville · @JLinvilleFert · May 3
A little excitement this afternoon.

Had a neighbor destraut that there were bees in her tree and wanted to know how to kill them. Told her we would come get them.

Fairly docile. Went in the box easy. Now in their new home in our backyard!!
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 3
Through April 30, funds covered shorts in CBOT #corn futures & options for a 2nd straight week in sympathy with wheat, but the move looks relatively unexciting on a chart. Futures were actually down on the week and the fund net short is still huge, though corn rallied 3% Wed-Fri.
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 3
Heavy round of short-covering by managed money in CBOT #wheat futures & options in the week ended April 30. The new net short (48k contracts) is smallest since July.
Chart shows that whenever short wheat this time of year, funds are forced out of (some) shorts between April-June.
farmbucks.com
farmbucks.com · @farmbuckscom · May 3
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Weatherlogics Weatherlogics · @weatherlogics · May 3
It has been a wet week across the Prairies, with all three provinces receiving significant precipitation. Here is a map showing the total precipitation from Monday through Thursday. More rain is expected today, and another system is on the way next week. #mbstorm #skstormtwitter.com/i/web/status/1… pic.twitter.com/fSGBZv94Kr
Market Talk
Market Talk · @markettalkag · May 3
Did we see some farmer selling of the corn and soybean rally on Friday? It was a strong end of the week with grain market short covering and plenty of other headlines to track. Tommy Grisafi (@AgBullMedia) from @trust_ati joins us to discuss today.

youtu.be/P5nMpSQylb4
Market Talk
Market Talk · @markettalkag · May 3
Also, we continue the discussion of this week's market moves in grains, livestock and more as we talk price action and news headlines with Chad Hart, Economist and Professor from @IowaStateU and @ISUExtension on today's show as well. #AgTwitter #markets

youtu.be/Hzdyls10tKI
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
"Sunflower, for many of Ukraine's farmers, is more profitable than #corn... in the current season. They will plant less #grain than in the previous season," Andrey Sizov, Managing Director of SovEcon, a Black Sea agricultural market research firm, told S&P Global Commodity… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
lol
this keeps spreading
he was an advisor to biden in 2009-2011
(so perhaps there is still hope) x.com/CryptoTea_/sta…
Crypto Tea Crypto Tea · @CryptoTea_ · May 3
This is Joe Biden’s chief economic advisor

We are doomed
pic.twitter.com/nblOzJ78us
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
oh boy
looks like the "middle finger to bulls" candle in #corn

#oatt
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 3
🇷🇺The April combo of warm/dry in #Russia's top #wheat growing district hasn't been seen in 30+ years (ever?) Huge outlier. Closest analog is 2012, a poor overall wheat crop. Southern weather + total wheat yield isn't perfectly apples-to-apples, but gives an idea.
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
more tanks and missiles -> higher gdp short-term
but
you cant produce much with tanks and missiles
so
lower GDP longer term x.com/ianbremmer/sta…
ian bremmer ian bremmer · @ianbremmer · May 3
russia’s economic growth in 2023: 3.6%
est growth in 2024: 3%

sanctions notwithstanding

-ft
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
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Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
On top of Russian South dryness, here's another story to spook some #wheat shorts. The Center (#2 wheat grower) faces freezing temps (-3C / 27F) this weekend.

We'll talk about this in today's sizov.report weekly note.

#oatt #sizovreport #agwx pic.twitter.com/bYV4LAqk5I
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
#Wheat is trading above 200DMA again. The chart suggests we can reverse here, but let's see how the market will close.

Russia's weather over the weekend (frosts in May??) and precipitation outlook for the South should be watched closely.

We will keep an eye on this for the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 3
🇧🇷Some analysts/brokers are estimating losses for #soybeans in #Brazil's Rio Grande do Sul at around 3 million tonnes after the torrential rains. The flooding rains came as harvest was in progress.
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
On the same date, exactly a year ago....#wheat jumped 5%. The trigger is below.

[And they say "seasonals don't work"] x.com/sizov_andre/st…
Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3, 2023
Supposedly, the video of the drone attack on the Kremlin last night pic.twitter.com/VSA5I5nKax
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
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Josh Linville
Josh Linville · @JLinvilleFert · May 3
Getting a lot of questions about Russian #UAN shipments to the U.S. Pictured are the #fertilizer year 2024 year to date import total broken by nation.

Also sharing the export total and destination list.

U.S. is importing nearly as much as it is exporting...
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
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Arnaud Bertrand Arnaud Bertrand · @RnaudBertrand · May 3
This is absolutely priceless. And probably the most frightening clip you'll ever watch on the people in charge of the US economy.

Jared Bernstein is literally the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, the main agency advising Biden on economic policy
pic.twitter.com/1b31FPFPCQ
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 3
USDA confirms the sale of 122,000 tonnes of U.S. #soybeans for delivery to unknown destinations in 2023/24.
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
On top of Russian South dryness, here's another story to spook some #wheat shorts. The Center (#2 wheat grower) faces freezing temps (-3C / 27F) this weekend.

We'll talk about this in today's sizov.report weekly note.

#oatt #sizovreport #agwx
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
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Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
Cover in May and go away...

#Corn breaks above 100DMA and takes out yesterday's high. Wonder how much the funds will have to buy.

#oatt #agwx pic.twitter.com/d6Cs62WvaX
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
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Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
@therealgerlach @ethankoehler14 @cornoptions1 looking at oi (which has been increasing) i doubt that we have seen any substantial short-covering yet...is it starting today?

#corn
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
There were plenty of nice opportunities to buy below $6 / close to 100DMA...

#wheat x.com/sizov_andre/st…
Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 1
Becoming more bullish...

#wheat x.com/sizov_andre/st…
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
Impressive sell-off in $DXY after the jobs report.
Adding some fuel to rally in #grains?

#wheat #corn #oatt
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
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SovEcon SovEcon · @sovecon · May 3
The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange lowered its forecast for Argentine corn production in 2023/24 by 3 mmt to 46.5 mmt. The forecast was revised due to unfavorable weather and plant diseases.

More: blog.sizov.report/sovecon-russia…
#oatt #sizovreport
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
Cover in May and go away...

#Corn breaks above 100DMA and takes out yesterday's high. Wonder how much the funds will have to buy.

#oatt #agwx
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 3
Cover in May and go away...

#Corn breaks above 100DMA and takes out yesterday's high. Wonder how much the funds will have to buy.

#oatt #agwx
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 2
CF Industries says the brisk pace at which U.S. agricultural companies have imported Russian fertilizer has unwittingly helped fund #Russia's war efforts. The U.S. does not have direct sanctions on Russian fertilizer.
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
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Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
Another story to keep on your radar: the French #wheat conditions. It got a little drier, but now it's becoming too wet again while crop ratings are historically low already (good/ex 63% vs 90%+ a year ago).

Hello, weather market.

#oatt #sizoveport #agwx pic.twitter.com/kxw7Yx1rY9
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
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Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
A part of the Russian South (#1 #wheat grower) got limited precipitation (<10 mm / 0.4 '), and the outlook has worsened substantially. We are expecting RU crop forecast downgrades.

Hmm...are those maps called "$7 CBOT / 250 EUR Matif"?

Check yesterday's sizov.reporttwitter.com/i/web/status/1… pic.twitter.com/uTuLryVzM3
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 2
May 2: CBOT July #corn hit a 3-month high, jumping 2% to settle at $4.59-3/4 per bushel. That is down from $5.80 on this date a year ago but up 9% from the Feb low. In focus: smaller Argy corn crop, harvest-disrupting rains in southern Brazil, slower US field work this week
Market Talk
Market Talk · @markettalkag · May 2
Soybeans and soybean meal soared higher on Thursday with an impressive short covering rally while cattle trade also rebounded on positive news headlines this time. We discuss market action today with Bryan Doherty from @TotalFarmMktg. #soybeans #cattle

youtu.be/2XeRkLh9KDE
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 2
🇦🇷#Argentina's Buenos Aires exchange cut its #corn crop estimate to 46.5 mmt from 49.5 mmt previously (initial forecast was 56.5 mmt).
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 2
🇺🇸U.S. #soymeal exports in March hit an all-time monthly record of 1.485 million tonnes, besting the prior high of 1.449M set in Jan. 2013.

Halfway through 23/24, total exports sit at 8.1 mmt, up 22% from the 5yr avg. USDA has full-year 23/24 exports +14% on the 5yr avg.
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
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Maroun Maroun · @MAROUNagro · May 2
Las condiciones de humedad para el trigo en Rusia, no mejoran de acuerdo a la demanda hídrica de la cosecha en el estadío actual... A seguirlo de cerca....
#wheat #trigo #Rusia #Agriculture x.com/sizov_andre/st…
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
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Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
Escalator up, elevator down...#cocoa dropped 30%+ in just one week

#oatt pic.twitter.com/fS5VVpzgRV
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
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Andrey Sizov Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
Odesa tonight: A huge fire broke out at the Nova Poshta delivery service warehouse after Russia's ballistic missile attack.

No, it's not the port.

#oatt #wheat #corn pic.twitter.com/rg7XOkoF2V
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
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Claudio Gianni Claudio Gianni · @ClaudioGianni · May 2
Parte de la zona núcleo triguera rusa recibió lluvias limitadas, y el panorama ha empeorado sustancialmente. Se vienen los recortes a la producción esperada para el líder del mercado global... x.com/sizov_andre/st…
Josh Linville
Josh Linville · @JLinvilleFert · May 2
Global #urea and #phosphate values remain under pressure as growing supplies and a general lack of demand is pushing price ideas lower.

Trying to figure out what turns the tide...if anything...short term.
Josh Linville
Josh Linville · @JLinvilleFert · May 2
If I understand, the U.S. Dept of Commerce raised #phosphate import rate against Morocco and Russian producer Phosagro.

That part is what it is going forward.

However, also believe the new rate will be applied BACKWARD against imports in 2022.

How does that make any sense?
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 2
StoneX customer survey raises its #soybean yield very slightly to 150.8 mmt on an increase in area. Total corn production raised to 125.6 mmt, up from 124.2 mmt in April as higher yields in Mato Grosso more than offset lower yields in Mato Grosso do Sul & Parana #oatt
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
Tough season for French #wheat

#oatt #agwx x.com/CropProphet/st…
CropProphet CropProphet · @CropProphet · May 2
@sizov_andre "a little drier" = 4 days in a row w/o rain. Rain is foreast to kick in again, however. pic.twitter.com/k8YaBYaLx6
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
France and RU South are moving into the "Poor" category from "Watch"

#agwx x.com/AMISoutlook/st…
AMIS AMIS · @AMISoutlook · May 2
Crop Update: In the northern hemisphere, winter #wheat conditions are generally favourable; #maize and #soybean harvesting mixed in the southern hemisphere, while sowing progresses favorably in the north. In Southeast Asia, drier-than-usual conditions affect dry-season #rice. pic.twitter.com/5wBUzHY8xl
Karen Braun
Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 2
🇧🇷Heavy rains in #Brazil's southernmost state Rio Grande do Sul have disrupted harvest of #corn & #soybeans. As of three weeks ago, the state was seen producing a record soy crop, up around 70% from last year's drought-stricken harvest.
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
Retweeted...
Karen Braun Karen Braun · @kannbwx · May 2
🇧🇷Heavy rains in #Brazil's southernmost state Rio Grande do Sul have disrupted harvest of #corn & #soybeans. As of three weeks ago, the state was seen producing a record soy crop, up around 70% from last year's drought-stricken harvest. pic.twitter.com/QrTEspUuN5
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 2
Marketing year to date #corn export sales to date exceed the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA's target by 9 million bushels, down from 17 million bushels the previous week. Actual shipments still exceed the seasonal pace by 66 million bushels. #oatt
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 2
Marketing year to date #milo export sales exceed the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA's target by 7 million bushels, down from 12 million the previous week. Actual shipments exceed the pace by 15 million bushels. #oatt
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 2
Marketing year to date #soybean export sales fall short of the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA's target by 66 million bushels, while actual shipment exceed the pace by 30 million, altho that number is dropping. #oatt
Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman · @ArlanFF101 · May 2
Marketing year to date #wheat export sales exceed the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA's target by 9 million bushels, while actual shipments match the pace. #oatt
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
A part of the Russian South (#1 #wheat grower) got limited precipitation (<10 mm / 0.4 '), and the outlook has worsened substantially. We are expecting RU crop forecast downgrades.

Hmm...are those maps called "$7 CBOT / 250 EUR Matif"?

Check yesterday's sizov.reporttwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
A part of the Russian South (#1 #wheat grower) got limited precipitation (<10 mm / 0.4 '), and the outlook has worsened substantially. We are expecting RU crop forecast downgrades.

Hmm...are those maps called "$7 CBOT / 250 EUR Matif"?

Check yesterday's sizov.reporttwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
Retweeted...
SovEcon SovEcon · @sovecon · May 2
As of May 01, Ukraine exported 41.4 MMT of grains, down from 41.6 MMT a year ago, according to the Ministry of Agrarian Policy. In April, 6.3 mmt of grains were exported, including 1.9 mmt of wheat and 4.1 mmt of corn.

More: blog.sizov.report/sovecon-russia…
#oatt #sizovreport
Andrey Sizov
Andrey Sizov · @sizov_andre · May 2
Another story to keep on your radar: the French #wheat conditions. It got a little drier, but now it's becoming too wet again while crop ratings are historically low already (good/ex 63% vs 90%+ a year ago).

Hello, weather market.

#oatt #sizoveport #agwx
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